TECHNICAL PAPERS
Sep 1, 1995

Storage-Reliability-Resilience-Yield Relations for Northeastern United States

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 121, Issue 5

Abstract

An evaluation of time-series of streamflow at 166 basins in the northeastern United States reveals that this region is remarkably homogeneous in terms of the year-to-year variability and persistence of average annual streamflow. Goodness-of-fit tests reveal that the 166 time-series of annual streamflow tested were well approximated by a lag-one normally distributed autoregressive process with a fixed lag-one correlation and a fixed coefficient of variation. Computer experiments revealed that the observed variability about these fixed values could easily arise from sampling alone, due to the varied and short records available. Recent research on the behavior of water supply systems reveals that simple analytic models can describe the general relationships among reservoir storage, yield, reliability, and resilience for systems dominated by overyear storage requirements. An analytic storage model is combined with the regional model of annual streamflow, resulting in general relations among storage, reliability, yield, and resilience useful for water supply systems in the Northeast. An example using the water supply systems for New York City, Boston, Providence, Rhode Island, and Springfield, Massachusetts, documents how the proposed methodology may be used to compare the behavior of four very different systems.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

1.
Beard, L. R. (1964). “Estimating long-term storage requirements and firm yield of rivers.”Publ. 63, International Association of Scientific Hydrology, 151–166.
2.
Buchberger, S. G., and Maidment, D. R.(1989). “Diffusion approximation for equilibrium distribution of reservoir storage.”Water Resour. Res., 25(7), 1643–1652.
3.
Deb, A. K., Archer, W. J., and Bergey, H. T.(1991). “Safe yield methodology for the Scituate Reservoir Complex.”J. New England Water Works Assoc., 105(1), 27–33.
4.
Haktanir, T.(1984). “Storage-yield relationships for reservoirs by two different procedures.”J. Hydrol., 72, 245–259.
5.
Hardison, C. H. (1966). “Storage to augment low flow.”Proc., Reservoir Yield Symp., Water Research Association, Marlow, Bucks, England, Part 1, Paper 8.
6.
Hardison, C. H.(1972). “Potential United States water-supply development.”J. Irrig. and Drain. Div., ASCE, 98(3), 479–492.
7.
Hashimoto, T., Stedinger, J. R., and Loucks, D. P.(1982). “Reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability criteria for water resource system performance evaluation.”Water Resour. Res., 18(1), 14–20.
8.
Hazen, A.(1914). “Storage to be provided in impounding reservoirs for municipal water supply.”Trans., ASCE, 77, 1539–1640.
9.
Helsel, D. R., and Hirsch, R. M. (1992). Statistical methods in water resources . Elsevier Science Publishing Co., Inc., New York, N.Y.
10.
Hosking, J. R. M.(1990). “L-moments: analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics.”J. Royal Statistical Soc. Series B, 52(2), 105–124.
11.
Hosking, J. R. M., and Wallis, J. R.(1993). “Some statistics useful in regional frequency analysis.”Water Resour. Res., 29(2), 271–281.
12.
Klemes, V. (1987). “One hundred years of applied storage theory.”Water Resour. Mgmt., Vol. I, 159–175.
13.
Langbein, W. B., et al. (1949). “Annual runoff in the United States.”U.S. Geol. Circular 52, U.S. Geological Survey, Washington, D.C.
14.
Lins, H. F., and Michaels, P. J.(1994). “Increased U.S. streamflow linked to greenhouse forcing.”EOS, Trans., American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 75(25), 281.
15.
Löf, G. O., and Hardison, C. H.(1966). “Storage requirements for water in the United States.”Water Resour. Res., 2(3), 323–354.
16.
Looney, S. W., and Gulledge, T. R. Jr.(1985). “Use of the correlation coefficient with normal probability plots.”The Am. Statistician, 39(1), 75–79.
17.
Loucks, D. P., Stedinger, J. R., and Haith, D. A. (1981). Water resource systems planning and analysis . Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, N.J.
18.
Markovic, R. D. (1965). “Probability functions of best fit to distributions of annual precipitation and runoff.”Hydro. Paper 8, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colo.
19.
Matalas, N. C., and Fiering, M. B. (1977). “Water resources systems planning.”Climate, climate change and water supply, National Academy of Sciences, New York, N.Y., 99–110.
20.
McMahon, T. A., and Mein, R. G. (1986). River and reservoir yield . Water Resources Publications, Littleton, Colo.
21.
“The national study of water management during drought: report on the first year.” (1991). IWR Rep. 91-nds-1, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources, Fort Belvoir, Va.
22.
Newton, D. W., and Herrin, J. C. (1982). “Assessment of commonly used flood frequency methods.”Transp. Res. Record Series TRR 896, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
23.
Pegram, G. G. S.(1980). “On reservoir reliability.”J. Hydrol., 47, 269–296.
24.
Phatarfod, R. M.(1986). “The effect of serial correlation on reservoir size.”Water Resour. Res., 22(6), 927–934.
25.
“Progress report of committee on rainfall and yield of drainage areas.” (1969). J. New England Water Works Assoc., 83(2), 166–189.
26.
Riggs, H. C., and Hardison, C. H. (1973). Storage analysis for water supply: techniques of water resources investigations of the U.S. geological survey, Book 4, Chapter B2.
27.
Rippl, W.(1883). “The capacity of storage reservoirs for water supply.”Proc., Instn. Civ. Engrs., Institution of Civil Engineers, London, England, 71, 270–278.
28.
“Safe yield study for the Springfield water supply system.” (1993). Rep. Prepared for Dept. of Envir. Protection, Division of Water Supply, Camp, Dresser and Mckee, Boston, Mass.
29.
Scheader, E. C.(1991). “The New York City water supply: past, present & future.”Civ. Engrg. Practice, Fall, 6(2), 7–20.
30.
Slack, J. R., and Landwehr, J. M. (1993). “Hydro-climatic data network (HCDN): a U.S. Geological Survey streamflow data set for the United States for the study of climate variations, 1874–1988.”Water Resour. Investigations Rep. 93-4076, U.S. Geological Survey, Washington, D.C.
31.
Stedinger, J. R., Vogel, R. M. and Foufoula-Georgiou, E. (1993). “Chapter 18: Frequency analysis of extreme events.”Handbook of Hydrology, D. A. Maidment, ed., McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y.
32.
Tasker, G. D. (1974). “A regional reservoir storage analysis for Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island.”J. Boston Soc. of Civ. Engrs., 13–26.
33.
Vogel, R. M. (1985). “The variability of reservoir storage estimates,” PhD thesis, Cornell University, Ithaca, N.Y.
34.
Vogel, R. M.(1987). “Reliability indices for water supply systems.”J. Water Resour. Plng. and Mgmt., ASCE, 113(4), 563–579.
35.
Vogel, R. M., and Bolognese, R. A.(1995). “Storage-reliability-resilience-yield relationships for overyear water supply systems.”Water Resour. Res., 31(3), 645–654.
36.
Vogel, R. M., and Fennessey, N. M.(1993). “L-moment diagrams should replace product moment diagrams.”Water Resour. Res., 29(6), 1745–1752.
37.
Vogel, R. M., and Hellstrom, D. I.(1988). “Long-range water supply planning.”Civ. Engrg. Practice, 3(1), 7–26.
38.
Vogel, R. M., and Kroll, C. N.(1989). “Low-flow frequency analysis using probability plot correlation coefficients.”J. Water Resour. Plng. Mgmt., 115(3), 338–357.
39.
Vogel, R. M., and Stedinger, J. R.(1987). “Generalized storage-reliability-yield relationships.”J. Hydrol., 89, 303–327.
40.
Vogel, R. M., and Stedinger, J. R.(1988). “The value of stochastic streamflow models in overyear reservoir design applications.”Water Resour. Res., 245(9), 1483–1490.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 121Issue 5September 1995
Pages: 365 - 374

History

Published online: Sep 1, 1995
Published in print: Sep 1995

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Richard M. Vogel, Member, ASCE
Assoc. Prof., Dept. of Civ. and Envir. Engrg., Tufts Univ., Medford, MA 02155.
Neil M. Fennessey, Associate Member, ASCE
Asst. Prof., Dept. of Civ. and Envir. Engrg., Univ. of Massachusetts, North Dartmouth, MA 02747-2300.
Ralph A. Bolognese
Envir. Engr., Weston & Sampson Engrs., Inc., Five Centennial Dr., Peabody, MA 01960-7985.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share