TECHNICAL PAPERS
Mar 1, 1991

Random Variables versus Uncertain Values: Stochastic Modeling and Design

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 117, Issue 2

Abstract

Recent decades have seen great progress in the use of stochastic methods to model aspects of water resource problems. However, the design implications of stochastic modeling have been relatively overlooked. In particular, there is little explicit realization that the stochastic modeling of single‐valued yet uncertain phenomena yields qualitatively different information than the stochastic modeling of multivalued, uncertain phenomena in terms of the role of the modeled uncertainty in design decision making. This paper explores this issue by way of some simple examples.

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Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 117Issue 2March 1991
Pages: 179 - 194

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Published online: Mar 1, 1991
Published in print: Mar 1991

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Jay R. Lund, Associate Member, ASCE
Asst. Prof., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of California, Davis, CA 95616

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