TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jan 1, 1988

Operational Guidance During Droughts: Expert System Approach

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 114, Issue 6

Abstract

Seattle, Washington, suffered its most extreme drought on record during the summer and fall of 1987. Severe and continuing water use restrictions were required to limit the drought's impact on municipal water supplies, fish populations, and navigation. This paper describes a decision support system used to aid in drought decisions. Its components include an expert system, a linear programming model, database management tools, and computer graphics. The expert system incorporates operator experience and intuition using a rule base developed through interviews with management personnel from the Seattle Water Department. The expert system also integrates the other programming techniques into a single system. A linear programming model determines system yield and optimal operating policies for past hydrologic regimes. Database management and graphics software store and allow the display of over two thousand operating policies to decision‐makers. The system provides user‐friendly support to help decision‐makers explore a wide range of management alternatives.

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Information & Authors

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Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 114Issue 6January 1988
Pages: 647 - 666

History

Published online: Jan 1, 1988
Published in print: Jan 1988

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Authors

Affiliations

Richard N. Palmer, Member, ASCE
Assoc. Prof., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195
K. John Holmes
Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin, 6110 Executive Blvd., Rockville, MD 20852‐3903

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