TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jul 1, 1988

Issues in Rule Base Development

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 114, Issue 4

Abstract

An expert system is an efficient human‐computer system designed to automatically produce decisions that normally require the application of both factual and heuristic information by a human expert. Expert systems do not add inherent validity to the decision‐making process. They currently provide, however, the avoidance of errors in solution procedures arising from inexperience, fatigue, overconfidence, and other human factors. Information in expert systems is normally represented by production rules. In the development of an expert system two primary concerns are the development of the set of rules and the logic by which the information is processed to obtain a decision. Several approaches to the elicitation of rules, the logical structuring of rules and uncertainty, and calibration of expert systems are reviewed. Decisions resulting from the application of expert systems are very dependent on the logic structure of the system used. Little evidence exists to guide expert system developers in the selection of these approaches.

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Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 114Issue 4July 1988
Pages: 457 - 468

History

Published online: Jul 1, 1988
Published in print: Jul 1988

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Authors

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James J. Geselbracht
Envir. Engr., Kereomel Envir. Systems Analysts, 305 W. Washington, Champaign, IL 61820
Douglas M. Johnston
Asst. Prof., Dept. of Landscape Arch., Univ. of Illinois at Urbana‐Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801

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