Validation of a Model for Predicting Schedule Changes in Highway Work Zones—Case Studies
Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 132, Issue 8
Abstract
There are currently no standard or accepted methods in the construction industry to calculate the probable impact of indirect cost factors on the schedule of highway work zone projects. This paper presents a model for stochastic analysis of factors affecting construction schedule in highway work zones and determination of probable changes, i.e., reduction or escalation, in the original estimated schedule for a given project. Also, three case studies from the Indiana Department of Transportation are illustrated in this paper in order to show the applicability of the model as a forecasting tool for predicting schedule changes on state Department of Transportation projects.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
The case studies presented in this paper would not have been possible without the help of INDOT personnel. The three interviewees that participated in the research have spent valuable time discussing projects and providing input for the calculations in the model. The opinions and findings expressed here, however, are those of the writers alone and not necessarily the views or positions of INDOT.
References
Blincoe, L. (1996). “The economic cost of motor vehicle crashes.” Rep. DOT HS 808 425, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, D.C.
Cohen, H. S. (1995). “In expanding metropolitan highways: Implications for air quality and energy use.” Special Rep. 245, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
Curry, D. A., and Anderson, D. G. (1972). “Procedures for estimating highway user costs, air pollution and noise effects.” NCHRP Rep. 133, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
Forkenbrock, D. J., Pogue, T. F., Foster, N. S. J., and Finnegan, D. J. (1990). “Road investment to foster local economic development.” Public Policy Center (PPC), Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
Gillespie, J. S. (1998). “Estimating user costs as a basis for incentive/disincentive amounts in highway construction contracts.” Rep. FHwA-VTRC-98-12, Virginia Transportation Research Council, Charlottesville, Va.
Goulias, D. G., Chien, I. S., and Yahalom, S. (2002). “Methodology for defining rational and defensible highway occupancy charges.” Proc., 81st TRB Annual Meeting, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 13–17.
Grenzeback, L. R., and Warner, M. G. (1994). “Impact of urban congestion on business.” Rep. NCHRP 2-17(5), Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
Hancher, D., and Taylor, T. (2001). “Night time construction issues.” Proc., 80th TRB Annual Meeting, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 7–11.
MacCrimmon, K. R., and Ryavec, C. A. (1964). “An analytic study of the PERT assumptions.” Oper. Res., 12, 16–37.
Minkarah, I. A., and Pant, P. D. (1997). A program to compute road user costs in highway work zones–User’s manual, Ohio Dept. of Transportation and FHwA, Columbus, Ohio.
Moder, J. J., Phillips, C. R., and Davis, E. W. (1983). Project management with CPM, PERT, and precedence diagramming, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York.
Saaty, T. L. (1980). The analytic hierarchy process, McGraw–Hill, New York.
Shepard, F. D., and Cottrell, B. H., Jr. (1985). “Benefits and safety impact of night work zone activities.” Rep. No. FHwA/RD-84/097, Virginia Highway & Transportation Research Council, Charlottesville, Va.
Sukumaran, P. (2003). “System analyzing the factors affecting construction schedule in highway work zones.” Ms. Science thesis, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, Ind.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2006 ASCE.
History
Received: Mar 1, 2005
Accepted: Jan 3, 2006
Published online: Aug 1, 2006
Published in print: Aug 2006
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.