Modeling Operating Speed and Speed Differential on Two-Lane Rural Roads
Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 131, Issue 6
Abstract
The geometric features of a highway network play a significant role considering the fact that collisions occur disproportionately on horizontal curves. Based on extensive literature review, the problem mainly stems from the lack of geometric design consistency–conformance of highway geometric characteristics with drivers’ expectations. More specifically, drivers select their speeds according to their own perception of the road (referred to as the operating speed) rather than the designer’s perception (referred to as the design speed). To address operating speed consistency evaluation in Canada, two sets of models for speed behavior were examined based on speed data collected using traffic counters/classifiers on 20 curves on two-lane rural highways in Ontario. Relatively weak relationships were developed for the traditional operating speed on horizontal curves, while stronger relationships were found for the 85th percentile speed differential from a tangent to a curve. It was also shown that the nonintrusive approach for speed data collection might reveal different speed behavior than that observed using radar guns.
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Acknowledgments
Financial support for this study was provided by the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada and Transport Canada. Equipment used in the study was acquired through funding by the Canada Foundation for Innovation and Ontario Innovation Trust. The writers would like to thank D. Edwards, B. Boutilier (MTO Eastern District Office), and L. Bender (SDG County) for their assistance in data collection.Table 3. Appendix: Previously Developed Speed Prediction Models
Author | Vehicle type | Model; Coefficient of determination |
---|---|---|
Taragin (1954) | PC | |
McLean (1978) | PC | |
McLean (1979) | PC | |
Kerman et al. (1982) | PC | |
Guidelines for the design of roads (1984) | PC | ; 0.790 |
Glennon et al. (1986) | PC | ; 0.840 |
Setra (1986) | PC | ; N/A |
Lamm and Choueiri (1987) | PC | ; 0.846 |
; 0.753 | ||
; 0.731 | ||
; 0.746 | ||
; 0.836 | ||
; 0.824 | ||
; 0.787 | ||
; 0.842 | ||
Kanellaidis et al. (1990) | PC | ; 0.647 |
; 0.925 | ||
; 0.777 | ||
Lamm (1993) | PC | ; 0.730 |
Ottesen and Krammes (1994) | PC | ; 0.800 |
Morrall and Talarico (1994) | PC | ; 0.631 |
Islam and Seneviratne (1994) | PC | ; 0.990 |
; 0.980 | ||
; 0.980 | ||
Krammes et al. (1995) | PC | ; 0.800 |
; 0.820 | ||
; 0.900 | ||
Lamm et al. (1995c) | PC | ; 0.810 |
Choueiri et al. (1995) | PC | ; 0.810 |
Al-Masaeid et al. (1995) | PC, LT, HT | ; 0.510 |
; 0.690 | ||
; 0.420 | ||
; 0.620 | ||
; 0.770 | ||
; 0.810 | ||
; 0.720 | ||
Voigt (1996) | PC | ; 0.840 |
Abdelwahab et al. (1998) | PC | ; 0.920 |
Pasetti and Fambro (1999) | PC | ; 0.680 |
Fitzpatrick et al. (2000) | PC | ; 0.920 |
; 0.560 | ||
; 0.590 | ||
; 0.780 | ||
; 0.540 | ||
; 0.680 | ||
Ottesen and Krammes (2000) | PC | ; 0.810 |
Andueza (2000) | PC | ; 0.840 |
; 0.850 | ||
McFadden and Elefteriadou (2000) | PC | ; 0.712 |
; 0.603 | ||
Gibreel et al. (2001) | PC | ; 0.980 |
; 0.980 | ||
; 0.940 | ||
; 0.950 | ||
; 0.790 | ||
; 0.940 | ||
; 0.970 | ||
; 0.980 | ||
; 0.900 | ||
; 0.830 | ||
Jessen et al. (2001) | PC | ; 0.540 |
; 0.420 | ||
Donnell et al. (2001) | Trucks | ; 0.613 |
; 0.562 | ||
; 0.600 | ||
; 0.611 | ||
; 0.577 |
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© 2005 ASCE.
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Received: Oct 20, 2003
Accepted: May 25, 2004
Published online: Jun 1, 2005
Published in print: Jun 2005
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