TECHNICAL PAPERS
May 1, 1986

Quantitative Approaches to Reliability Assessment in Pipe Networks

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 112, Issue 3

Abstract

Two quantitative approaches to the incorporation of reliability measures in the least‐cost design of looped water distribution networks are developed and assessed. Both approaches begin by obtaining an “optimal” layout design through linear programming. The first approach, addresses the probability of isolating a node through simultaneous failure of all links connected directly to that node. The second approach attempts to recognize redundancy by minimizing the deviations in the reliabilities of all pipes connected to each node within the network. In both cases, the probability of failure of individual links is modeled using the Poisson probability distribution. Comparison of the techniques suggests that minimizing the differences in the reliabilities of pipes connected to each node seems the most promising.

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References

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2.
Ciottoni, A. S., “Computerized Data Management in Determining Causes of Water Main Breaks: The Philadelphia Case Study,” Proceedings of the 1983 International Symposium on Urban Hydrology, Hydraulics and Sediment Control, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, Ky., 1983, pp. 323–329.
3.
Coals, A. V., and Goulter, I. C., “Approaches to the Consideration of Reliability in Water Distribution Networks,” Proceedings of the Twelfth International Symposium on Urban Hydrology, Hydraulic Infrastructures and Water Quality Control, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, Ky., 1985, pp. 287–295.
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Goulter, I. C., and Morgan, D. R., “An Integrated Approach to the Layout and Design of Water Distribution Systems,” Civil Engineering Systems, 1985, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 104–113.
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Karmeli, D., Gadish, Y., and Meyers, S., “Design of Optimal Water Distribution Networks,” Journal of the Pipeline Division, ASCE, Vol. 94, No. PL1, Oct., 1968, pp. 1–9.
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Kettler, A. J., and Goulter, I. C., “Reliability Consideration in the Least Cost Design of Looped Water Distribution Networks,” Proceedings of the 10th International Symposium on Urban Hydrology, Hydraulics and Sediment Control, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, Ky., 1983, pp. 305–312.
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Kettler, A. J., and Goulter, I. C., “An Analysis of Pipe Breakage in Urban Water Distribution Networks,” Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, Vol. 12, No. 2, 1985, pp. 286–293.
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Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering
Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 112Issue 3May 1986
Pages: 287 - 301

History

Published online: May 1, 1986
Published in print: May 1986

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Authors

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I. C. Goulter, A. M. ASCE
Assoc. Prof., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB R3T 2N2, Canada
A. V. Coals
Grad. Student, Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB R3T 2N2, Canada

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