Sensitivity of Seismic Response and Fragility to Parameter Uncertainty
Publication: Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 133, Issue 12
Abstract
As the use for regional seismic risk assessment increases, the need for reliable fragility curves for portfolios (or classes) of structures becomes more important. Fragility curves for portfolios of structures have the added complexity of having to deal with the uncertainty in geometric properties, along with the typical uncertainties such as material or component response parameters. Analysts are challenged with selecting a prudent level of uncertainty treatment while balancing the simulation and computational effort. In order to address this question, this study first evaluates the modeling parameters which significantly affect the seismic response of an example class of retrofitted bridges. Further, the relative importance of the uncertainty in these modeling parameters, gross geometries, and ground motions is assessed. The study reveals that savings in simulation and computational effort in fragility estimation may be achieved through a preliminary screening of modeling parameters. However, the propagation of these potentially variable parameters tends to be overshadowed by the uncertainty in the ground motion and base geometry of the structural class.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
This study has been supported by the Earthquake Engineering Research Centers program of the National Science Foundation under Award No. NSFEEC-9701785 (Mid-America Earthquake Center).
References
Chaudhuri, S. R., and Hutchinson, T. C. (2006). “Fragility of bench-mounted equipment considering uncertain parameters.” J. Struct. Eng., 132(6), 884–898.
Cornell, A. C., Jalayer, F., Hamburger, R. O., and Foutch, D. A. (2002). “Probabilistic basis for 2000 SAC Federal Emergency Management Agency steel moment frame guidelines.” J. Struct. Eng., 128(4), 526–532.
DesRoches, R., Choi, E., Leon, R. T., Dyke, S. T., and Aschheim, M. (2004). “Seismic response of multiple span steel bridges in Mid-America. Part I: As-built response.” J. Bridge Eng., 9(5), 1–9.
Federal Highway Administration (FHWA). (1995). “Recording and coding guide for the structure inventory and appraisal of the nation’s bridges.” FHWA-PD-96-001, Office of Engineering Bridge Division, McLean, Va.
Hines, W. W., Montgomery, D. C., Goldsman, D. M., and Borror, C. M. (2003). Probability and statistics in engineering, 4th Ed., Wiley, Hoboken, N.J.
Jangid, R. S. (2004). “Seismic response of isolated bridges.” J. Bridge Eng., 9(2), 156–166.
Karim, K. R., and Yamazaki, F. (2001). “Effect of earthquake ground motions on fragility curves of highway bridge piers based on numerical simulation.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 30(12), 1839–1856.
Kelly, J. M. (1998). “The analysis and design of elastomeric bearings for application in bridges.” Proc., U.S.–Italy Workshop on Seismic Protective Systems for Bridges, MCEER, New York, 73–88.
Kunnath, S. K., Larson, L., and Miranda, E. (2006). “Modeling considerations in probabilistic performance-based seismic evaluation: Case study of the I-880 viaduct.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 35(1), 57–75.
Kwon, O.-S., and Elnashai, A. (2006). “The effect of material and ground motion uncertainty on the seismic vulnerability curves of RC structure.” Eng. Struct., 28(2), 289–303.
Mander, J. B., Kim, D. K., Chen, S. S., and Premus, G. J. (1996). “Response of steel bridge bearings to the reversed cyclic loading.” Rep. No. NCEER 96-0014, NCEER, Buffalo, N.Y.
McKenna, F., and Fenves, G. L. (2005). Open system for earthquake engineering simulation, Version 1.6.2.c, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Berkeley, Calif.
Nielson, B. (2005). “Analytical fragility curves for highway bridges in moderate seismic zones.” Ph.D. dissertation, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta.
Nielson, B. G., and DesRoches, R. (2006). “Influence of modeling assumptions on the seismic response of multispan simply supported steel girder bridges in moderate seismic zones.” Eng. Struct., 28(8), 1083–1092.
Nielson, B. G., and DesRoches, R. (2007). “Probabilistic seismic analysis of highway bridges using a component level approach.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 36(6), 823–839.
Padgett, J. (2007). “Seismic vulnerability assessment of retrofitted bridges using probabilistic methods.” Ph.D. dissertation, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta.
Padgett, J. E., and DesRoches, R. (2007). “Seismic retrofit assessment with multilevel performance objectives.” Proc., 86th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, TRB, Washington, D.C.
Ramamoorthy, S. (2006). “Seismic fragility estimates for reinforced concrete framed buildings.” Ph.D. dissertation, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, Tex.
Rix, G. J., and Fernandez, J. A. (2004). “Synthetic ground motions for Memphis, TN.” http://www.ce.gatech.edu/research/mae ground motion (July, 2004).
Saiidi, M., Maragakis, E., and Feng, S. (1996). “Parameters in bridge restrainer design for seismic retrofit.” J. Struct. Eng., 122(1), 61–68.
SAS. (2004). JMP: Statistical discovery software, Cary, N.C.
Song, J., and Ellingwood, B. R. (1999). “Seismic reliability of special moment steel frames with welded connections. II.” J. Struct. Eng., 125(4), 372–384.
Tekie, P. B., and Ellingwood, B. R. (2003). “Seismic fragility assessment of concrete gravity dams.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 32(14), 2221–2240.
Wang, C.-H., and Foliente, G. C. (2006). “Seismic reliability of low-rise nonsymmetric wood frame buildings.” J. Struct. Eng., 132(5), 733–744.
Wen, Y. K., and Wu, C. L. (2001). “Uniform hazard ground motions for Mid-America cities.” Earthquake Spectra, 17(2), 359–384.
Wu, C. F. J., and Hamada, M. (2000). Experiments: Planning, analysis, and parameter design optimization, Wiley, New York.
Zhu, Y. Z., and Soong, T. T. (1998). “Toppling fragility of unrestrained equipment.” Earthquake Spectra, 14(4), 695–771.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2007 ASCE.
History
Received: Sep 22, 2006
Accepted: Feb 27, 2007
Published online: Dec 1, 2007
Published in print: Dec 2007
Notes
Note. Associate Editor: Shahram Sarkani
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.