TECHNICAL PAPERS
Sep 1, 2008

Predictive Modeling of Storm-Water Runoff Quantity and Quality for a Large Urban Watershed

Publication: Journal of Environmental Engineering
Volume 134, Issue 9

Abstract

A predictive model for storm-water runoff was implemented on a GIS platform based on the unit area loading method and Browne’s empirical relation for soil characteristics for the Upper Ballona Creek Watershed in Los Angeles. The heterogeneity of the watershed was quantified by dividing it into many small subareas and applying lumped parameters for each. Characterization of total pollutant load by land-use types to total loads was achieved through zeroth-order regularization and limited memory Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno bound constrained optimization techniques. Relative form was used in the objective function to compensate for strong contributions of high magnitude variables. Model predictions showed reasonable agreement with pollutant loadings, using Zn as an example, measured at the mass emission site at watershed mouth. The predicted runoff volumes using the developed quantity model were in good agreement with the data and had R2 of 0.86. The RMS error of the quality model was 9kg , which is low compared to the mean discharge of 77kgevent .

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Published In

Go to Journal of Environmental Engineering
Journal of Environmental Engineering
Volume 134Issue 9September 2008
Pages: 703 - 711

History

Received: Jul 24, 2006
Accepted: Dec 21, 2007
Published online: Sep 1, 2008
Published in print: Sep 2008

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Authors

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Simon J. Ha
Graduate Research Engineer, Civil and Environmental Engineering Dept., Univ. of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095.
Michael K. Stenstrom, F.ASCE [email protected]
Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering Dept., Univ. of California, Los Angeles, 5714 Boelter Hall, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1598 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]

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