TECHNICAL PAPERS
Nov 1, 2008

Construction Project Risk Assessment Using Existing Database and Project-Specific Information

Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 134, Issue 11

Abstract

This paper develops a risk assessment methodology for construction projects by combining existing large quantities of data and project-specific information through updating approaches. Earlier studies have indicated that risk assessment is still difficult for practicing engineers to use due to the requirement of data on too many input variables. However, the availability of existing large quantities of data and project-specific information makes it possible to simplify the risk assessment procedure. Two main ideas are pursued in this paper to facilitate practical implementation: identify and evaluate the critical risk events, and develop a systematic updating methodology. Both epistemic and aleatory types of uncertainties in the data are considered, and corresponding updating procedures are developed. The proposed methodology is illustrated for the construction risk assessment of a cable-stayed bridge.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The work was supported by the Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of the Korea Research Foundation (KRF, UNSPECIFIEDM01-2004-000-20055-0). The support is gratefully acknowledged.

References

Ang, A. H.-S., and Tang, W. H. (1975). Probability concepts in engineering planning and design, Vols. I and II, Wiley, New York.
Ang, A. H.-S., and Tang, W. H. (2006). Probability concepts in engineering: Emphasis on applications to civil and environmental engineering, 2nd Ed., Wiley, New York.
Apeland, S., Aven, T., and Nilsen, T. (2002). “Quantifying uncertainty under a predictive, epistemic approach to risk analysis.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 75, 93–102.
Baldwin, J. F., and Pilsworth, B. W. (1979). “Fuzzy truth definition of possibility measure for decision classification.” Int. J. Man-Mach. Stud., 2, 447–463.
Blockley, D. I. (1999). “Risk based structural safety methods in context.” Struct. Safety, 214, 335–348.
Cho, H. N., Choi, H. H., and Kim, Y. B. (2002). “A risk assessment methodology for incorporating uncertainties using fuzzy concepts.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 78, 173–183.
Choi, H. H. (2005). “A risk and safety assessment methodology using fuzzy uncertainty and imprecise reliability for large civil structures.” Ph.D. thesis, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hanyang Univ., Hanyang, Korea.
Choi, H. H., Cho, H. N., and Seo, J. W. (2004). “Risk assessment methodology for underground construction projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 130(2), 258–272.
Dubois, D., and Prade, H. (1982). “The use of fuzzy numbers in decision analysis.” Fuzzy information and decision processes, M. M. Gupta and E. Sanchez, eds., North-Holland, New York, 309–321.
Everett, J. G., and Frank, P. B. (1996). “Costs of accidents and injuries to the construction industry.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 122(2), 158–164.
Fujino, T. (1994). “The development of a method for investigation construction site accidents using fuzzy fault tree analysis.” Ph.D. thesis, Ohio State Univ.
Hadipriono, F. C. (1985). “Assessment of falsework performance using fuzzy set concepts.” Struct. Safety, (3), 47–57.
Haldar, A., and Mahadevan, S. (2000). Probability, reliability, and statistical methods in engineering design, Wiley, New York.
Klir, G. J. (2004). “Generalized information theory: Aims, results, and open problems.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 85, 21–38.
Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency (KOSHA). (2000). Rep. of Investigation of the Preventive Measures against Vital Accidents at Construction Sites.
Park, Y. H. (1995). “Failures of structures and the causes of them.” Construction Technology Information, 7–17.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 134Issue 11November 2008
Pages: 894 - 903

History

Received: Aug 12, 2005
Accepted: Apr 23, 2007
Published online: Nov 1, 2008
Published in print: Nov 2008

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Senior Researcher, Highway Design Evaluation Office, Korea Expressway Corp., 430, Daewang Pangyoro, Sujeong-gu, Seongnam, Kyungki, Korea. E-mail: [email protected], [email protected]
Sankaran Mahadevan [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Mechanical Engineering, Vanderbilt Univ., VU Station B #351831, 2301 Vanderbilt Place, Nashville, TN 37235-1831. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share