Developing Collaborative Driving Mechanism of Prefabricated Buildings Using Multiagent Stochastic Evolutionary Game
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 150, Issue 6
Abstract
The prefabricated building has been widely promoted in recent years as it can effectively alleviate the conflict between economic growth and environmental resources. However, the development of the prefabricated building has fallen short of anticipated goals under the influence of the dynamic circumstances and behavioral strategies of multiple stakeholders. Understanding the relevant stakeholders’ behavioral strategies and collaborative evolution mechanisms is key to promoting prefabricated buildings’ orderly and efficient development. Therefore, this study combines the evolutionary game theory with system dynamics, introduces Gaussian white noise stochastic disturbance terms to model the complex characteristics of multiagent behavior toward prefabricated buildings, and establishes evolutionary game models and stochastic evolutionary game models for local governments, contractors, and consumers. Subsequently, the influences of strategy choice behavior with or without central government supervision were analyzed to study the collaborative driving mechanism of prefabricated buildings under the multiple effects of the government and market. The findings of this research underscore the necessity for government and market collaboration in championing the sustainable evolution of prefabricated buildings. While central government supervision spurs the growth of these structures, its static reward–punishment approach offers only fleeting collaborative momentum and fails to ensure market steadiness. In contrast, the improved dynamic incentive and disincentive mechanism can effectively control fluctuations in the evolutionary process, which is critical in achieving stable development and collaborative governance toward prefabricated buildings. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by broadening the horizons of evolutionary game theory applications and providing a perspective for understanding the behavioral strategies driving the development of prefabricated buildings by both government and market forces. Therefore, a series of driving mechanisms is proposed, providing theoretical guidance and practical insights to prompt the long-term development of prefabricated buildings more effectively.
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Data Availability Statement
Some or all data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 72301132 and 72101055), the Social Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (No. 20GLC019), the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2021M690607), and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. NR2023004).
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Published In
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 150 • Issue 6 • June 2024
Copyright
© 2024 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Aug 15, 2023
Accepted: Jan 22, 2024
Published online: Apr 9, 2024
Published in print: Jun 1, 2024
Discussion open until: Sep 9, 2024
ASCE Technical Topics:
- Buildings
- Business management
- Construction engineering
- Construction industry
- Construction management
- Continuum mechanics
- Decision making
- Driver behavior
- Dynamics (solid mechanics)
- Engineering fundamentals
- Engineering mechanics
- Facilities (by type)
- Game theory
- Government buildings
- Infrastructure
- Mathematics
- Offsite construction
- Practice and Profession
- Probability
- Public buildings
- Solid mechanics
- Stochastic processes
- Structural dynamics
- Structural engineering
- Structures (by type)
- Traffic engineering
- Transportation engineering
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