Technical Papers
Nov 28, 2019

Risk Evolution of On-Bridge Crowds through Region-Level Floor Field Model

Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 6, Issue 1

Abstract

Footbridges, as the fundamental structures spanning natural or artificial obstacles, not only perform the function of weight-bearing but also entail the role of pedestrian transporting. From the pedestrian transporting point of view, the understanding of how pedestrians move on a footbridge is crucial to ensuring the safety of pedestrians, particularly under the strike of all kinds of emergencies. In this sense, developing a rational and realistic simulation framework to describe the pedestrian dynamics and then to analyze the risk of crowds on a footbridge is of prime significance for a thorough consideration in the design stage and safety monitoring in the operating stage. This paper extended the floor field model onto the region level for a better description of the crowd status on the footbridge. Herein, the factors that influence the moving strategies of the pedestrian were incorporated, such as distance to destination, herding behavior, inertia effect, and right-moving preference. And the pedestrian simulations in different parts of the region were effectively organized to reflect the real status of pedestrian transportation on the footbridge. On the basis of the data extracted from the pedestrian simulation process, a procedure was established to fulfill the task of analyzing the risk evolution of onbridge crowds over the time horizon. As an illustration, two kinds of footbridge schemes were investigated in terms of the crowd’s risk evolution via the adoption of the proposed framework. This work combined the pedestrian simulation model and the risk analyzing method in an integrated framework in a bid to lend some initial, yet original insight into the risk evolution analysis of crowds on the region level from the simulation perspective.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

This work is supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2018YFB1600100); the National Nature Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 51678435 and 51878495); and the Peak Discipline Open Fund of Transportation Engineering of Tongji University (Grant No. 2016J012302).

References

Bellomo, N., B. Piccoli, and A. Tosin. 2012. “Modeling crowd dynamics from a complex system viewpoint.” Supplement, Math. Models Methods Appl. Sci. 22 (S2): 1230004. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218202512300049.
Burstedde, C., K. Klauck, A. Schadschneider, and J. Zittartz. 2001. “Simulation of pedestrian dynamics using a two-dimensional cellular automaton.” Physica A. 295 (3–4): 507–525. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4371(01)00141-8.
Feliciani, C., and K. Nishinari. 2018. “Measurement of congestion and intrinsic risk in pedestrian crowds.” Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 91 (Jun): 124–155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2018.03.027.
Fruin, J. J. 1971. Pedestrian planning and design. New York: Metropolitan Association of Urban Designers and Environmental Planners.
Gunturkun, O. 2003. “Adult persistence of head-turning asymmetry.” Nature. 421 (6924): 711. https://doi.org/10.1038/421711a.
Han, Z., W. Weng, Q. Zhao, X. Ma, Q. Liu, and Q. Huang. 2013. “Investigation on an integrated evacuation route planning method based on real-time data acquisition for high-rise building fire.” IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 14 (2): 782–795. https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2012.2237398.
Helbing, D. 2001. “Traffic and related self-driven many-particle systems.” Rev. Mod. Phys. 73 (4): 1067–1141. https://doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.73.1067.
Helbing, D., A. Johansson, and H. Z. Al-Abideen. 2007. “Dynamics of crowd disasters: An empirical study.” Phys. Rev. E: Stat. Nonlinear Soft Matter Phys. 75 (4 Pt 2): 046109. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.75.046109.
Henderson, L. 1971. “The statistics of crowd fluids.” Nature. 229 (5284): 381. https://doi.org/10.1038/229381a0.
Hughes, R. L. 2002. “A continuum theory for the flow of pedestrians.” Transp. Res. Part B: Methodol. 36 (6): 507–535. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0191-2615(01)00015-7.
Kirchner, A., and A. Schadschneider. 2002. “Simulation of evacuation processes using a bionics-inspired cellular automaton model for pedestrian dynamics.” Physica A. 312 (1): 260–276. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4371(02)00857-9.
Kok, V. J., M. K. Lim, and C. S. Chan. 2016. “Crowd behavior analysis: A review where physics meets biology.” Neurocomputing. 177 (Feb): 342–362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2015.11.021.
Lee, R. S., and R. L. Hughes. 2006. “Prediction of human crowd pressures.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 38 (4): 712–722. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2006.01.001.
Lee, R. S. C., and R. L. Hughes. 2005. “Exploring trampling and crushing in a crowd.” J. Transp. Eng. 131 (8): 575–582. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2005)131:8(575).
Li, J., L. Wang, S. Tang, B. Zhang, and Y. Zhang. 2016. “Risk-based crowd massing early warning approach for public places: A case study in China.” Saf. Sci. 89 (Nov): 114–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2016.06.007.
Lohner, R., B. Muhammad, P. Dambalmath, and E. Haug. 2018. “Fundamental diagrams for specific very high density crowds.” Collective Dyn. 2: 1–15. https://doi.org/10.17815/CD.2017.13.
MacKenzie, C. 2010. “The failure of risk management: Why it’s broken and how to fix it.” Risk Anal. 30 (3): 524–525. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01381.x.
Nagai, R., T. Nagatani, M. Isobe, and T. Adachi. 2004. “Effect of exit configuration on evacuation of a room without visibility.” Physica A. 343 (Nov): 712–724. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2004.06.061.
Ngai, K. M., F. M. Burkle, Jr., A. Hsu, and E. B. Hsu. 2009. “Human stampedes: A systematic review of historical and peer-reviewed sources.” Disaster Med. Public Health Prep. 3 (4): 191–195. https://doi.org/10.1097/DMP.0b013e3181c5b494.
Nishinari, K., A. Kirchner, A. Namazi, and A. Schadschneider. 2004. “Extended floor field CA model for evacuation dynamics.” IEICE Trans. Inf. Syst. 87 (3): 726–732.
Peng, Y. C., and C. I. Chou. 2011. “Simulation of pedestrian flow through a ‘T’ intersection: A multi-floor field cellular automata approach.” Comput. Phys. Commun. 182 (1): 205–208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cpc.2010.07.035.
Ruan, X., Z. Y. Yin, and D. M. Frangopol. 2015. “Risk matrix integrating risk attitudes based on utility theory.” Risk Anal. 35 (8): 1437–1447. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12400.
Sun, J., M. Walters, N. Svensson, and D. Lloyd. 1996. “The influence of surface slope on human gait characteristics: A study of urban pedestrians walking on an inclined surface.” Ergonomics. 39 (4): 677–692. https://doi.org/10.1080/00140139608964489.
Tanimoto, J., A. Hagishima, and Y. Tanaka. 2010. “Study of bottleneck effect at an emergency evacuation exit using cellular automata model, mean field approximation analysis, and game theory.” Physica A. 389 (24): 5611–5618. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2010.08.032.
Wang, C., and J. Wang. 2017. “Risk-field based modeling for pedestrian emergency evacuation combined with alternative route strategy.” Math. Prob. Eng. 2017: 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/3405619.
Wang, J., S. Lo, Q. Wang, J. Sun, and H. Mu. 2013. “Risk of large-scale evacuation based on the effectiveness of rescue strategies under different crowd densities.” Risk Anal. 33 (8): 1553–1563. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01923.x.
Xie, D. F., Z. Y. Gao, X. M. Zhao, and D. Z. W. Wang. 2012. “Agitated behavior and elastic characteristics of pedestrians in an alternative floor field model for pedestrian dynamics.” Physica A. 391 (7): 2390–2400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2011.11.053.
Yang, L., J. Li, and S. Liu. 2008. “Simulation of pedestrian counter-flow with right-moving preference.” Physica A. 387 (13): 3281–3289. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2008.01.107.
Yuan, W. F., and K. H. Tan. 2011. “A model for simulation of crowd behaviour in the evacuation from a smoke-filled compartment.” Physica A. 390 (23–24): 4210–4218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2011.07.044.
Zhen, W., L. Mao, and Z. Yuan. 2008. “Analysis of trample disaster and a case study—Mihong bridge fatality in China in 2004.” Saf. Sci. 46 (8): 1255–1270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2007.08.002.
Zheng, X., T. Zhong, and M. Liu. 2009. “Modeling crowd evacuation of a building based on seven methodological approaches.” Build. Environ. 44 (3): 437–445. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2008.04.002.
Zheng, Y., B. Jia, X.-G. Li, and N. Zhu. 2011. “Evacuation dynamics with fire spreading based on cellular automaton.” Physica A. 390 (18): 3147–3156. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2011.04.011.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 6Issue 1March 2020

History

Received: Oct 3, 2018
Accepted: Jun 10, 2019
Published online: Nov 28, 2019
Published in print: Mar 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Apr 28, 2020

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Bridge Engineering, Tongji Univ., 1239 Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China. Email: [email protected]
Xin Ruan, A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Bridge Engineering, Tongji Univ., 1239 Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]
Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Bridge Engineering, Tongji Univ., 1239 Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share