Quantitative Framework to Assess Resilience and Risk at the Country Level
Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 4, Issue 1
Abstract
This paper presents a quantitative method to assess the resilience and the resilience-based risk at the country level. The approach is inspired by the classical risk analysis, in which risk is a function of vulnerability, hazard, and exposure. In the proposed analysis, resilience-based risk is a function of resilience, hazard, and exposure. In the new formula, the resilience parameter is evaluated using the data provided by the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA). HFA scores and ranks countries based on a number of equally weighted indicators. To use those indicators in the resilience assessment, the contribution of each indicator toward resilience must be determined. To do that, three methods to weight and combine the different HFA indicators are proposed. The first two methods are based on the dependence tree analysis (DTA), while the third method is based on a geometrical combination of the indicators using spider plots. The proposed methodology has been applied to a case study composed of 37 countries for which both the resilience () and the resilience-based risk () indexes have been determined.
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Acknowledgments
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Research Council under the Grant Agreement No. 637842 of the project IDEAL RESCUE—Integrated DEsign and control of Sustainable CommUnities during Emergencies.
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Published In
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 4 • Issue 1 • March 2018
Copyright
©2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Dec 19, 2016
Accepted: Jul 10, 2017
Published online: Nov 24, 2017
Published in print: Mar 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Apr 24, 2018
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