Feasibility of Using Urban Planning Models to Support Intermediate Traffic Forecasts
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 130, Issue 3
Abstract
This paper focuses on analyzing traffic facilities for an intermediate time frame. There are two methodologies examined in this work, the first uses extrapolated, historical traffic count data and the second uses an urban transportation model. Using several intersections within Huntsville, Ala., as case study intersection locations, this paper applies both methodologies to forecast near-future traffic and compares the forecasted results with the actual traffic counts to determine which methodology better replicated actual volumes. The results of this work indicate that a properly validated and applied urban transportation planning model has the ability to provide more accurate traffic forecasts to support the traffic engineering analysis decision than the commonly used extrapolated traffic trends.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Conover, W. J. (1999). Practical non-parametric statistics, 3rd Ed., Wiley, New York.
Dickey, J. (1983). Metropolitan transportation planning, 2nd Ed., Hemisphere, Bristol, Pa.
“Huntsville.” (2002). 〈http://www.ci.huntsville.al.us/Engineering/TrafficEng/〉 (February 19, 2002).
National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP). (1978). “Quick response urban travel estimation techniques and transferable parameters.” Transportation Research Record 187, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
Smith, A., Hinton, E., and Lewis, R. (1983). Civil engineering systems analysis and design, Wiley, New York.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
Copyright © 2004 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Aug 22, 2002
Accepted: Apr 25, 2003
Published online: Aug 16, 2004
Published in print: Sep 2004
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.