Technical Papers
Jun 18, 2020

Probabilistic Models for Uncertainty Quantification of Soil Properties on Site Response Analysis

Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 6, Issue 3

Abstract

The geotechnical properties of soil deposit and the variability associated with their probable distributions have a profound impact on the seismic response of a site. In the present work, the influences of soil profile characterizations corresponding to the shear wave velocity (Vs), density, and material degradation using various probabilistic distributions are investigated. A stochastic process is introduced for solving the spatial variability in soil deposit via Monte Carlo simulations. The results are validated with those obtained from the reference solution using the Strata program version 0.5.5. Additionally, sensitivity analysis is conducted to investigate the effect of the random input variables in the soil profile. The analysis concludes that the consideration of probabilistic distributions of the geotechnical parameters plays a significant role in evaluating the reliability of a site. The variability in material degradation has a greater impact than the unit weight on site response. Furthermore, comparatively the variability in Vs for both the Toro model and log-normal distribution is identical for periods greater than 1.0 s, while in the range of lower periods, the former is lower than the latter with maximum reductions of 11.14% and 20.86% in surface response spectra and amplification factor, respectively.

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Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code generated or used during the study are proprietary or confidential in nature and may only be provided with restrictions.

Acknowledgments

A National Research Foundation of Korea grant funded by the Korean government (NRF-2018R1A2B2005519) supported this work.

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Go to ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 6Issue 3September 2020

History

Received: Dec 9, 2019
Accepted: Apr 7, 2020
Published online: Jun 18, 2020
Published in print: Sep 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Nov 18, 2020

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Thanh-Tuan Tran, Ph.D. [email protected]
Institute of Offshore Wind Energy, Kunsan National Univ., 558 Daehak-ro, Gunsan-si, Jeollabuk-do 54150, Republic of Korea; Faculty of Technology and Technique, Quy Nhon Univ., 170 An Duong Vuong St., Quy Nhon City, Binh Dinh 55100, Vietnam. Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
Kashif Salman [email protected]
Researcher, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Kunsan National Univ., 558 Daehak-ro, Gunsan-si, Jeollabuk-do 54150, Republic of Korea. Email: [email protected]
Seung-Ryong Han, Ph.D. [email protected]
Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation Engineering and Construction, 269 Hyeoksin-ro, Gimcheon-si 39660, Republic of Korea. Email: [email protected]
Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Kongju National Univ., 1223-24 Cheonan-daero, Seobuk-gu, Cheonan-si, Chungcheongnam-do 31080, Republic of Korea (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5695-8240. Email: [email protected]

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