Technical Papers
Aug 11, 2017

Probabilistic Assessment and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Nonductile Reinforced Concrete Buildings Retrofitted with Base Isolation: Considering Mainshock–Aftershock Hazards

Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 3, Issue 4

Abstract

Nonductile reinforced concrete (RC) frame buildings were found to be vulnerable to earthquakes. Thus retrofitting of these buildings is necessary, as addressed in the recent retrofit program of Los Angeles. A potential retrofit strategy is base isolation, which has many advantages but is not yet routinely used in the United States because of its high cost. To determine whether base isolation is economical when the advantages and costs are compared, seismic performance assessment and cost-benefit analysis are performed on two nonductile RC frame buildings before and after being numerically retrofitted with base isolation, which makes consideration of uncertainties. Location of the buildings is assumed to be Los Angeles, CA. Aftershock ground motions are generated to examine the influence of aftershock hazard. Direct loss, downtime, fatalities, and total loss for each of the buildings are investigated. Results suggest that base isolation can reduce the seismic loss, downtime, and fatalities effectively. Besides, the benefits can outweigh the retrofit costs. The effect on the results caused by indirect losses from downtime and fatalities is quantified and shown to be substantial. Aftershock hazard is also found to be at a relatively significant level.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The research described in this paper was supported, in part, by the National Science Foundation (NSF) Division of Civil, Mechanical, and Manufacturing Innovation (CMMI) under Grant No. CMMI-1100423. The support is gratefully acknowledged. However, the writers take sole responsibility for the views expressed in this paper, which may not represent the position of the NSF or their respective institutions.

References

Abrahamson, N., and Silva, W. (1996). “Empirical ground motion models.”, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY.
Abrahamson, N., and Silva, W. (1997). “Empirical response spectral attenuation relations for shallow crustal earthquakes.” Seismol. Res. Lett., 68(1), 94–127.
Asano, Y., et al. (2011). “Spatial distribution and focal mechanisms of aftershocks of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake.” Earth Planets Space, 63(7), 669–673.
ASCE. (2007). “Seismic rehabilitation of existing buildings.” ASCE/SEI 41-06, Reston, VA.
Aslani, H., and Miranda, E. (2005). Probabilistic earthquake loss estimation and loss disaggregation in buildings, Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA.
ATC (Applied Technology Council). (2005). ATC-20-1 field manual: Postearthquake safety evaluation of building, Redwood City, CA.
Bjarnadottir, S., Li, Y., and Stewart, M. G. (2014). “Risk-based economic assessment of mitigation strategies for power distribution poles subjected to hurricanes.” Struct. Infrastruct. Eng., 10(6), 740–752.
Cardone, D., and Gesualdi, G. (2014). “Seismic rehabilitation of existing RC buildings with seismic isolation: A case study.” Earthquake Spectra, 30(4), 1–24.
Celik, O. C., and Ellingwood, B. R. (2008). “Modeling beam-column joints in fragility assessment of gravity load designed reinforced concrete frames.” J. Earthquake Eng., 12(3), 357–381.
Celik, O. C., and Ellingwood, B. R. (2009). “Seismic risk assessment of gravity load designed reinforced concrete frames subjected to mid-America ground motions.” J. Struct. Eng., 414–424.
Celik, O. C., and Ellingwood, B. R. (2010). “Seismic fragilities for non-ductile reinforced concrete frames—Role of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.” Struct. Safety, 32(1), 1–12.
Coburm, A., Spence, R., and Pomonis, A. (1992). “Factors determining human casualty levels in earthquakes: Mortality prediction in building collapse.” Proc., 10th World Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, Vol. 10, A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands, 5989–5994.
Constantinou, M. C., Whittaker, A., Kalpakidis, Y., Fenz, D., and Warn, G. P. (2007). “Performance of seismic isolation hardware under service and seismic loading.”, Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, NY.
De Luca, A., Mele, E., Molina, J., Verzeletti, G., and Pinto, A. V. (2001). “Base isolation for retrofitting historic buildings: Evaluation of seismic performance through experimental investigation.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 30(8), 1125–1145.
Erduran, E., Dao, N. D., and Ryan, K. L. (2011). “Comparative response assessment of minimally compliant low-rise conventional and base-isolated steel frames.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 40(10), 1123–1141.
FEMA. (1992). “A benefit-cost model for the seismic rehabilitation of buildings.” FEMA 227, Building Seismic Safety Council, Washington, DC.
FEMA. (2009). “Quantification of building seismic performance factors.” FEMA P695, Washington, DC.
FEMA. (2012). “Next-generation methodology for seismic performance assessment of buildings.” FEMA P-58, Washington, DC.
Goda, K., Lee, C., and Hong, H. (2010). “Lifecycle cost-benefit analysis of isolated buildings.” Struct. Safety, 32(1), 52–63.
Han, R., Li, Y., and van de Lindt, J. (2014). “Seismic risk of base isolated non-ductile reinforced concrete buildings considering uncertainties and mainshock-aftershock sequences.” Struct. Safety, 50(Sep), 39–56.
Han, R., Li, Y., and van de Lindt, J. (2015a). “Assessment of seismic performance of buildings with incorporation of aftershocks.” J. Perform. Constr. Facil., 04014088.
Han, R., Li, Y., and van de Lindt, J. (2015b). “Impact of aftershocks and uncertainties on the seismic evaluation of non-ductile reinforced concrete frame buildings.” Eng. Struct., 100(Oct), 149–163.
Han, R., Li, Y., and van de Lindt, J. (2016). “Seismic loss estimation with consideration of aftershock hazard and post-quake decisions.” ASCE-ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Eng. Syst. Part A, 2(4), 04016005.
Hancock, J., et al. (2006). “An improved method of matching response spectra of recorded earthquake ground motion using wavelets.” J. Earthquake Eng., 10(S1), 67–89.
Huang, Y.-N., Whittaker, A. S., and Luco, N. (2010). “Seismic performance assessment of base-isolated safety-related nuclear structures.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 39(13), 1421–1442.
Kao, H., and Chen, W.-P. (2000). “The Chi-Chi earthquake sequence: Active, out-of-sequence thrust faulting in Taiwan.” Science, 288(5475), 2346–2349.
Kwon, O.-S., and Elnashai, A. (2006). “The effect of material and ground motion uncertainty on the seismic vulnerability curves of RC structure.” Eng. Struct., 28(2), 289–303.
Li, Y., Song, R., and Van de Lindt, J. W. (2014). “Collapse fragility of steel structures subjected to earthquake mainshock-aftershock sequences.” J. Struct. Eng., 04014095.
Liel, A. B. (2008). Assessing the collapse risk of California’s existing reinforced concrete frame structures: Metrics for seismic safety decisions, Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA.
Liel, A. B., and Deierlein, G. G. (2013). “Cost-benefit evaluation of seismic risk mitigation alternatives for older concrete frame buildings.” Earthquake Spectra, 29(4), 1391–1411.
Liel, A. B., Haselton, C. B., and Deierlein, G. G. (2011). “Seismic collapse safety of reinforced concrete buildings. II: Comparative assessment of nonductile and ductile moment frames.” J. Struct. Eng., 492–502.
Luco, N., Gerstenberger, M. C., Uma, S. R., Ryu, H., Liel, A. B., and Raghunandan, M. (2011). “A methodology for post-mainshock probabilistic assessment of building collapse risk.” 9th Pacific Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, Wellington, New Zealand.
Mitrani-Reiser, J. (2007). An ounce of prevention: Probabilistic loss estimation for performance-based earthquake engineering, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA.
Mokha, A. S., Amin, N., Constantinou, M. C., and Zayas, V. (1996). “Seismic isolation retrofit of large historic building.” J. Struct. Eng., 298–308.
Mrozek, J. R., and Taylor, L. O. (2002). “What determines the value of life? A meta-analysis.” J. Policy Anal. Manage., 21(2), 253–270.
OMB (Office of Management and Budget). (2003). Circular A-4, Washington, DC.
OpenSees [Computer software]. Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center, Berkeley, CA.
Padgett, J. E., Nielson, B. G., and Desroches, R. (2008). “Selection of optimal intensity measures in probabilistic seismic demand models of highway bridge portfolios.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 37(5), 711–725.
Pagni, C. A., and Lowes, L. N. (2006). “Fragility functions for older reinforced concrete beam-column joints.” Earthquake Spectra, 22(1), 215–238.
Park, R., Priestley, M., and Gill, W. D. (1982). “Ductility of square-confined concrete columns.” J. Struct. Div., 108(4), 929–950.
PEER (Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center). (2014). “Ground motion database.” ⟨http://peer.berkeley.edu/peer_ground_motion_database⟩ (Mar. 12, 2014).
Perotti, F., Domaneschi, M., and De Grandis, S. (2013). “The numerical computation of seismic fragility of base-isolated nuclear power plants buildings.” Nucl. Eng. Des., 262(Sep), 189–200.
Porter, K. A. (2007). “Fragility of hydraulic elevators for use in performance-based earthquake engineering.” Earthquake Spectra, 23(2), 459–469.
Porter, K. A., Kiremidjian, A. S., and Legrue, J. S. (2001). “Assembly-based vulnerability of buildings and its use in performance evaluation.” Earthquake Spectra, 17(2), 291–312.
Raghunandan, M., Liel, A. B., and Luco, N. (2015). “Aftershock collapse vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete frame structures.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 44(3), 419–439.
Ramirez, C. M., and Miranda, E. (2009). Building-specific loss estimation methods & tools for simplified performance-based earthquake engineering, Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA.
Rosowsky, D. V. (2002). “Reliability-based seismic design of wood shear walls.” J. Struct. Eng., 1439–1453.
Ryan, K., Sayani, P., Dao, N., Abraik, E., and Baez, Y. (2010). “Comparative life cycle analysis of conventional and base-isolated theme buildings.” 9th U.S. National and 10th Canadian Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, El Cerrito, CA and Canadian Association for Earthquake Engineering, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Ryan, K. L., Kelly, J. M., and Chopra, A. K. (2005). “Nonlinear model for lead-rubber bearings including axial-load effects.” J. Eng. Mech., 1270–1278.
Sayani, P. J. (2009). “Relative performance comparison and loss estimation of seismically isolated and fixed-based buildings using PBEE approach.” Graduate thesis and dissertations, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT.
Smyth, A. W., et al. (2004). “Probabilistic benefit-cost analysis for earthquake damage mitigation: Evaluating measures for apartment houses in Turkey.” Earthquake Spectra, 20(1), 171–203.
Thompson, A. C., Whittaker, A. S., Fenves, G. L., and Mahin, S. A. (2000). “Property modification factors for elastomeric seismic isolation bearings.” Proc., 12th World Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, Upper Hutt, New Zealand.
Totten, S. (2014). “LA unveils new earthquake preparedness plan.” 89.3 KPCC. ⟨http://www.scpr.org/news/2014/12/08/48547/la-unveils-new-earthquake-preparedness-plan⟩ (Dec. 8, 2014).
USGS. (2014). “Seismic hazard maps and site-specific data.” ⟨http://www.usgs.gov/⟩ (Oct. 20, 2014).
Vamvatsikos, D., and Cornell, C. A. (2002). “Incremental dynamic analysis.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn., 31(3), 491–514.
Yang, T. Y., Konstantinidis, D., and Kelly, J. M. (2010). “The influence of isolator hysteresis on equipment performance in seismic isolated buildings.” Earthquake Spectra, 26(1), 275–293.
Yeo, G. L., and Cornell, C. A. (2003). “Building-specific seismic fatality estimation methodology.” Proc., 9th Int. Conf. on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, IOS Press, Clifton, VA.
Yeo, G. L., and Cornell, C. A. (2005). Stochastic characterization and decision bases under time-dependent aftershock risk in performance-based earthquake engineering, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Berkeley, CA.
Yeo, G. L., and Cornell, C. A. (2009). “Building life-cycle cost analysis due to mainshock and aftershock occurrences.” Struct. Safety, 31(5), 396–408.
Yin, Y.-J., and Li, Y. (2011). “Loss estimation of light-frame wood construction subjected to mainshock-aftershock sequences.” J. Perform. Constr. Facil, 504–513.
Zhang, J., and Huo, Y. (2009). “Evaluating effectiveness and optimum design of isolation devices for highway bridges using the fragility function method.” Eng. Struct., 31(8), 1648–1660.
Zhang, J., and Shu, Z. (2014). “Optimal design of isolation devices for buildings using performance based methodology.” ⟨https://nees.org/resources/12704⟩ (Dec. 18, 2014).

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 3Issue 4December 2017

History

Received: Oct 26, 2016
Accepted: May 9, 2017
Published online: Aug 11, 2017
Published in print: Dec 1, 2017
Discussion open until: Jan 11, 2018

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Ruilong Han [email protected]
Senior Engineer, Gilsanz Murray Steficek LLP, 129 W 27th St., 5th Floor, New York, NY 10001 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Yue Li, A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Case Western Reserve Univ., Cleveland, OH 44106. E-mail: [email protected]
John van de Lindt, F.ASCE [email protected]
George T. Abell Professor in Infrastructure, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 80523-1372. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share