Coupling Analysis of Tunnel Construction Risk in Complex Geology and Construction Factors
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 148, Issue 9
Abstract
Generally, multiple risk factors are involved in tunnel construction accidents. Therefore, it is of particular importance to evaluate the mechanisms of multifactor risks and measure coupling risks in tunnel construction safety. Tunnel construction risk components under complex geology and construction factors were investigated using 101 tunnel construction accidents as examples. N-K and coupling degree models were introduced for tunnel construction risk analyses to calculate the coupling degrees of each component of single-factor and two-factor risk coupling models, respectively. Meanwhile, the correlation mechanism between tunnel construction risk value and each risk component was analyzed. The obtained results indicated that the coupling risk of complex geology and construction factors was greater than that of two factors independently, and a strong coupling relationship was witnessed between complex geology and construction factors. Strong coupling resulted in a sharp risk increase or sudden coupling change, which caused risk expansion and even generated new risks. This method provided a theoretical basis for the tunnel construction risk coupling mechanism.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Data Availability Statement
Some or all data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 52178393 and 51578447), the Shanxi Province housing and rural construction division of the project (Grant No. 2019-k39), and the Innovation Capability Support Plan of Shaanxi Province–Innovation Team (Grant No. 2020TD-005).
References
Boonyarak, T., and C. W. W. Ng. 2014. “Effects of construction sequence and cover depth on crossing-tunnel interaction.” Can. Geotech. J. 52 (7): 851–867. https://doi.org/10.1139/cgj-2014-0235.
Cao, G., Y. Han, Q. Li, and W. Xu. 2017. “Asymmetric MF-DCCA method based on risk conduction and its application in the Chinese and foreign stock markets.” Physica A 468 (Feb): 119–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2016.10.002.
Chen, D., Y. Pei, and Q. Xia. 2020. “Research on human factors cause chain of ship accidents based on multidimensional association rules.” Ocean Eng. 218 (Dec): 107717. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.107717.
Chen, T., G. Huang, and A. Olanipekun. 2018. “Simulating the evolution mechanism of inner innovation in large-scale construction enterprise with an improved NK Model.” Sustainability 10 (11): 4221. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10114221.
Chen, Y., J. Li, H. Lu, and P. Yan. 2021. “Coupling system dynamics analysis and risk aversion programming for optimizing the mixed noise-driven shale gas-water supply chains.” J. Cleaner Prod. 278 (Jan): 123209. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.123209.
Deng, J., S. Liu, C. Xie, and K. Liu. 2021. “Risk coupling characteristics of maritime accidents in Chinese inland and coastal waters based on N-K model.” J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 10 (1): 4. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse10010004.
Ding, L., L. Zhang, X. Wu, M. J. Skibniewski, and Y. Qunzhou. 2014. “Safety management in tunnel construction: Case study of Wuhan metro construction in China.” Saf. Sci. 62 (Feb): 8–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2013.07.021.
Editorial Department of China Journal of Highway and Transport. 2015. “Review on China’s tunnel engineering research.” China J. Highway Transp. 28 (5): 1–65. https://doi.org/10.19721/j.cnki.1001-7372.2015.05.001.
Fan, I. Y. H., and R. W. B. Lee. 2012. “Design of a weighted and informed NK model for intellectual capital-based innovation planning.” Expert Syst. Appl. 39 (10): 9222–9229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2012.02.083.
Fan, S., Z. Song, T. Xu, and Y. Zhang. 2022. “Investigation of the microstructure damage and mechanical properties evolution of limestone subjected to high-pressure water.” Constr. Build. Mater. 316 (Jan): 125871. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2021.125871.
Fan, Y., C. Fang, and Q. Zhang. 2019. “Coupling coordinated development between social economy and ecological environment in Chinese provincial capital cities-assessment and policy implications.” J. Cleaner Prod. 229 (Aug): 289–298. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.05.027.
Geng, Y., Z. Wei, H. Zhang, and M. Maimaituerxun. 2020. “Analysis and prediction of the coupling coordination relationship between tourism and air environment: Yangtze river economic zone in China as example.” Discrete Dyn. Nat. Soc. 2020 (Jan): 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/1406978.
He, Y., T. Xia, W. Xiong, B. Wang, and Y. Liu. 2013. “Risk transmission assessment of electricity price chain in China based on ISM and ECM.” Int. J. Electr. Power Energy Syst. 46 (Mar): 274–282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2012.10.029.
Hong, K. 2015. “State-of-art and prospect of tunnels and underground works in China.” Tunnel Constr. 35 (2): 95–107. https://doi.org/10.3973/j.issn.1672-741X.2015.02.001.
Hu, L., G. Xue, L. Li, M. Wang, and T. She. 2018. “Analysis of coupling of highway traffic risks in geological and meteorological environment of plateau regions.” China J. Highway Transp. 31 (1): 110–119. https://doi.org/10.19721/j.cnki.1001-7372.2018.01.013.
Huang, W., D. Yin, Y. Xu, R. Zhang, and M. Xu. 2022. “Using N-K model to quantitatively calculate the variability in functional resonance analysis method.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 217 (Jan): 108058. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.108058.
Jiang, Y., and B. Shen. 2018. “Strengthened mechanized construction management and construction efficiency analysis of large cross-sectional tunnel.” Tunnel Constr. 38 (8): 1334–1341. https://doi.org/10.3973/j.issn.2096-4498.2018.08.010.
Kai, Y., L. Shuran, G. Jiancun, and P. Lei. 2017. “Research on the coupling degree measurement model of urban gas pipeline leakage disaster system.” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 22 (Jun): 238–245. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.11.013.
Kang, X., S. Luo, Q. Li, M. Xu, and Q. Li. 2017. “Developing a risk assessment system for gas tunnel disasters in China.” J. Mountain Sci. 14 (9): 1751–1762. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-016-3976-5.
Kappes, M., M. Keiler, K. von Elverfeldt, and T. Glade. 2012. “Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: A review.” Nat. Hazards 64 (2): 1925–1958. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0294-2.
Kauffman, S. A. 1992. The origins of order: Self-organization and selection in evolution, spin glasses and biology, 61–100. Singapore: World Scientific.
Kim, J., C. Kim, G. Kim, I. Kim, Q. Abbas, and J. Lee. 2022. “Probabilistic tunnel collapse risk evaluation model using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and Delphi survey technique.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 120 (Feb): 104262. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2021.104262.
Koulinas, G. K., P. K. Marhavilas, O. E. Demesouka, A. P. Vavatsikos, and D. E. Koulouriotis. 2019. “Risk analysis and assessment in the worksites using the fuzzy-analytical hierarchy process and a quantitative technique—A case study for the Greek construction sector.” Saf. Sci. 112 (Feb): 96–104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2018.10.017.
Li, D., H. Meng, and X. Shi. 1995. “Membership clouds and membership cloud generators.” J. Comput. Res. Dev. 32 (Jun): 15–20.
Li, S., Z. Zhou, L. Li, Z. Xu, Q. Zhang, and S. Shi. 2013. “Risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels based on attribute synthetic evaluation system.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 38 (Sep): 50–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2013.05.001.
Li, Y., Y. Li, Y. Zhou, Y. Shi, and X. Zhu. 2012. “Investigation of a coupling model of coordination between urbanization and the environment.” J. Environ. Manage. 98 (Mar): 127–133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2011.12.025.
Liu, W., Z. Wu, Y. Liu, and Y. Chen. 2016. “Space difference research on coupling development between green urbanization and ecological environment in Poyang Lake ecological and economical zone-data analysis based on exploratory space.” Int. J. Earth Sci. 9 (6): 2523–2530.
Liu, W., T. Zhao, W. Zhou, and J. Tang. 2018. “Safety risk factors of metro tunnel construction in China: An integrated study with EFA and SEM.” Saf. Sci. 105 (Jun): 98–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2018.01.009.
Liu, Y. B., R. Li, and X. Song. 2005. “Analysis of coupling degrees of urbanization and ecological environment in China.” J. Nat. Resour. 20 (1): 105–112.
Liu, Z., Q. Ma, B. Cai, X. Shi, C. Zheng, and Y. Liu. 2022. “Risk coupling analysis of subsea blowout accidents based on dynamic Bayesian network and NK model.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 218 (Feb): 108160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.108160.
Lyu, H., W. Sun, S. Shen, and A. Zhou. 2020. “Risk assessment using a new consulting process in fuzzy AHP.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 146 (3): 04019112. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001757.
Moradi, R., and K. M. Groth. 2020. “Modernizing risk assessment: A systematic integration of PRA and PHM techniques.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 204 (Dec): 107194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107194.
Namli, M., and N. Bilgin. 2017. “A model to predict daily advance rates of EPB-TBMs in a complex geology in Istanbul.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 62 (Feb): 43–52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2016.11.008.
Ou, G., Y. Jiao, G. Zhang, J. Zou, F. Tan, and W. Zhang. 2021. “Collapse risk assessment of deep-buried tunnel during construction and its application.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 115 (Sep): 104019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2021.104019.
Pan, H., J. Gou, Z. Wan, C. Ren, M. Chen, T. Gou, and Z. Luo. 2019. “Research on coupling degree model of safety risk system for tunnel construction in subway shield zone.” Math. Probl. Eng. 2019 (Dec): 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/5783938.
Qian, Q., and P. Lin. 2016. “Safety risk management of underground engineering in China: Progress, challenges and strategies.” J. Rock Mech. Geotech. 8 (4): 423–442. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrmge.2016.04.001.
Qiao, W. 2021. “Analysis and measurement of multifactor risk in underground coal mine accidents based on coupling theory.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 208 (Apr): 107433. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107433.
Qiu, D., C. Qu, Y. Xue, B. Zhou, X. Li, X. Ma, and J. Cui. 2020. “A comprehensive assessment method for safety risk of gas tunnel construction based on fuzzy Bayesian network.” Pol. J. Environ. Stud. Stud. 29 (6): 4269–4289. https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/115979.
Selva, J. 2013. “Long-term multi-risk assessment: Statistical treatment of interaction among risks.” Nat. Hazards 67 (2): 701–722. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0599-9.
Sharafat, A., K. Latif, and J. Seo. 2021. “Risk analysis of TBM tunneling projects based on generic bow-tie risk analysis approach in difficult ground conditions.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 111 (May): 103860. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2021.103860.
Song, Z., Y. Cheng, X. Tian, J. Wang, and T. Yang. 2020a. “Mechanical properties of limestone from Maixi tunnel under hydro-mechanical coupling.” Arab. J. Geosci. 13 (11): 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-020-05373-z.
Song, Z., J. Mao, X. Tian, Y. Zhang, and J. Wang. 2019. “Optimization analysis of controlled blasting for passing through houses at close range in super-large section tunnels.” Shock Vib. 2019 (Aug): 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/1941436.
Song, Z., G. Shi, B. Zhao, K. Zhao, and J. Wang. 2020b. “Study of the stability of tunnel construction based on double-heading advance construction method.” Adv. Mech. Eng. 12 (1): 168781401989696. https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814019896964.
Špačková, O. 2012. Risk management of tunnel construction projects. Prague, Czech Republic: Czech Technical Univ.
Tian, S., W. Wang, and J. Gong. 2021. “Development and prospect of railway tunnels in China (including statistics of railway tunnels in China by the end of 2020).” Tunnel Constr. 41 (2): 308–325. https://doi.org/10.3973/j.issn.2096-4498.2021.02.018.
Wang, Q., Y. Luan, B. Jiang, S. Li, M. He, H. Sun, Q. Qin, and W. Lu. 2019a. “Study on key technology of tunnel fabricated arch and its mechanical mechanism in the mechanized construction.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 83 (Jan): 187–194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2018.10.002.
Wang, X., J. Lai, J. Qiu, W. Xu, L. Wang, and Y. Luo. 2020. “Geohazards, reflection and challenges in Mountain tunnel construction of China: A data collection from 2002 to 2018.” Geomatics Nat. Hazards Risk. 11 (1): 766–785. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2020.1747554.
Wang, X., S. Li, Z. Xu, X. Li, P. Lin, and C. Lin. 2019b. “An interval risk assessment method and management of water inflow and inrush in course of karst tunnel excavation.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 92 (Oct): 103033. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2019.103033.
Wang, Y., H. Jing, H. Su, and J. Xie. 2016. “Effect of a fault fracture zone on the stability of tunnel-surrounding rock.” Int. J. Geomech. 17 (6): 04016135. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)GM.1943-5622.0000837.
Wang, Y., J. Tang, and Y. Zhao. 2017. “Coupling analysis of risk factors in flight operation.” China Saf. Sci. J. 27 (7): 77–81. https://doi.org/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.07.014.
Wei, Y., H. Xu, Y. Xue, and X. Duan. 2020. “Quantitative assessment and visualization of flight risk induced by coupled multi-factor under icing conditions.” Chin. J. Aeronaut. 33 (8): 2146–2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cja.2020.03.025.
Xu, T., Z. Song, D. Guo, and Y. Song. 2020. “A cloud model-based risk assessment methodology for tunneling-induced damage to existing tunnel.” Adv. Civ. Eng. 2020 (Dec): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8898362.
Xue, Y., Z. Li, S. Li, D. Qiu, M. Su, and Z. Xu. 2018. “Water inrush risk assessment for an undersea tunnel crossing a fault: An analytical model.” Mar. Georesour. Geotechnol. 37 (7): 816–827. https://doi.org/10.1080/1064119X.2018.1494230.
Zhang, J., K. Xu, G. You, B. Wang, and L. Zhao. 2019a. “Causation analysis of risk coupling of gas explosion accident in Chinese underground coal mines.” Risk Anal. 39 (7): 1634–1646. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13311.
Zhang, M. 2009. “Adopt advanced techniques to ensure the construction safety and quality of railway tunnels.” Mod. Tunneling Technol. 46 (3): 1–6.
Zhang, Y., X. Weng, Z. Song, and Y. Sun. 2019b. “Modeling of loess soaking induced impacts on a metro tunnel using a water soaking system in centrifuge.” Geofluids 2019 (4): 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/5487952.
Zhao, T., W. Liu, L. Zhang, and W. Zhou. 2018a. “Retracted: Cluster analysis of risk factors from near-miss and accident reports in tunneling excavation.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 144 (6): 04018040. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001493.
Zhao, Y., H. He, and P. Li. 2018b. “Key techniques for the construction of high-speed railway large-section loess tunnels.” Engineering 4 (2): 254–259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eng.2017.07.003.
Zhou, H., Y. Zhao, Q. Shen, L. Yang, and H. Cai. 2020. “Risk assessment and management via multi-source information fusion for undersea tunnel construction.” Autom. Constr. 111 (Mar): 103050. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2019.103050.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 148 • Issue 9 • September 2022
Copyright
© 2022 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 28, 2021
Accepted: May 3, 2022
Published online: Jul 14, 2022
Published in print: Sep 1, 2022
Discussion open until: Dec 14, 2022
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.
Cited by
- Jing Li, Jingzheng Zhu, Cheng Guan, Mitigating Fatigue in Tunnel Construction through Illumination: Evidence from Virtual Reality, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 10.1061/JCEMD4.COENG-14860, 150, 11, (2024).
- Desen Kong, Sen Teng, Jian Shi, Mingkai Zhao, Meixu Deng, Analytical Model for Tunnel Face Stability in Composite Strata Considering the Arching Effect, International Journal of Geomechanics, 10.1061/IJGNAI.GMENG-10144, 24, 12, (2024).
- Xiaoxiao Geng, Yongwei Lv, Li Zhao, Yingchen Wang, Measurement and Simulation of Risk Coupling in Port Hazardous Chemical Logistics, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 10.3390/ijerph20054008, 20, 5, (4008), (2023).